The anonymous poster on 4chan who correctly flagged Bitcoin at the top of the cycle nearly two years ago on October 6, 2025, has returned with a far more aggressive call. The trader predicts that Bitcoin will reach $250,000 by 2026.
This prediction is resurfacing across the crypto world just as many on-chain and technical indicators are turning bearish.
Proven calls instead of price targets
Back in December 2023, an anonymous poster outlined a time-based cycle model rather than price prediction. This paper relied on historical symmetry. almost 1,064 days since From bear market low to cycle highfollowed by Almost 364 days of decline.
This structure predicted that the next high would come on October 6, 2025. This was around the same day that Bitcoin hit a near-peak high and crashed four days later.
Anon 4chan user’s Bitcoin predictions
This accuracy lends weight to the new predictions even among skeptics.
In his latest post, anon claims that the broader structure is not broken.
Rather, the current drawdown represents a reset phase before the next expansion leg, with 2026 marked as the next price climax.
Most Bitcoin charts currently look bearish
Short-term data tells a completely different story.
of Bitcoin Composite Market Index (BCMI) It has rolled over from higher levels that have historically been associated with late-cycle conditions.
Momentum indicators have weakened and prices are struggling to regain key psychological zones after the October peak.
Bitcoin Composite Market Index. Source: CryptoQuant
meanwhile, Apparent demand growthIt has decelerated sharply from its early 2025 highs, as measured by net new buyer activity. Similar demand slumps preceded major corrections in past cycles, such as 2021 and 2017.
Viewed through a traditional analytical lens, these signals indicate caution.
We have been writing about Bitcoin entering a bear market since early November.
And yes, we are primarily in a bear market amidst demand depletion.
Check out the latest report here: https://t.co/wz6tiQnxjP
— Julio Moreno (@jjcmoreno) December 23, 2025
Why does the bull incident persist?
This anonymous prediction casts doubt on the idea that local bearish signals define a complete cycle. Previous bull markets have also seen months of corrections and resets in demand before a final parabolic move.
Structural tailwinds remain. Bitcoin supply growth continues to be compressed after the halving. Even as speculative interest cools, institutional infrastructure from ETFs to payment rails remains embedded.
Historically, the strongest upswings have followed periods of skepticism rather than optimism.
Anon’s $250,000 goal for 2026 is not framed as a sentiment or opinion, but as a continuation of the previous cycle mechanism.
Whether this decision is right or wrong, this episode highlights a common pattern in the Bitcoin market. Short-term indicators often turn bearish long before the long-term cycle ends.
For now, Bitcoin’s price sits at an uncomfortable midpoint.
