Trump’s crypto moves are sparking speculation of a new coin as the price on Polymarket stands at 27% odds and ethical alarms mount.
summary
- Polymarket puts the probability that President Trump will launch a new tradable cryptocurrency by the end of the year at 27%, depending on the disclosure of TMTG’s digital token initiative.
- Trump Media’s “non-transferable” Truth social token does not yet qualify as a coin, but it signals deeper integration of blockchain into Trump’s corporate stack.
- Estimates based on Reuters put the Trump family’s crypto income at $802 million in the first half of 2025, which has come under increased scrutiny amid allegations of “crypto corruption” linked to World Liberty Financial and the UAE.
Donald Trump’s trajectory is inching closer to the issuance of a new crypto token, and prediction markets are already placing odds on it.
Polymarket odds and “Digital Token Initiative”
According to Benzinga’s syndication on Yahoo Finance, Polymarket traders believe there is a 27% chance that Donald Trump will issue a new cryptocurrency by the end of the year. The speculation intensified after Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) confirmed the record date for the Digital Token Initiative in an official press release, stating that “DJT shareholders as of that date will be eligible to receive digital tokens associated with the Truth Social platform.”
The company explains that its current tokens are “non-transferable” and cannot be exchanged for cash, meaning this structure “does not yet meet Polymarket’s tradable coin criteria.” Still, the move shows that TMTG is “integrating blockchain technology into its corporate structure,” marking a clear shift away from its previous single-track focus on social media.
$802 Million in Crypto Income and Allegations of “Crypto Corruption”
According to a Reuters analysis cited in the article, the Trump family “amassed more than $802 million in crypto assets in the first half of 2025 alone” and that crypto assets now account for “more than 90% of the family’s declared income.” By contrast, traditional businesses such as golf courses brought in about $33 million, and real estate licenses generated about $23 million.
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That amount includes previous Trump NFT drops and the official Trump (TRUMP) and MELANIA meme coins that “despite subsequent volatility and controversy have generated millions of wealth for the Trump family.” At a recent White House press conference, President Trump sought to distance himself from the alleged $500 million investment in World Liberty Financial from the United Arab Emirates, saying he had “no knowledge” of the transaction and that his sons were “dealing with it.” Sen. Elizabeth Warren labeled the situation “cryptocurrency corruption” and warned of a conflict of interest between President Trump’s political role and his family’s digital asset business.
Market context: risks remain
This parabolic move comes as digital assets continue to trade as the purest expression of macro risk appetite. Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at around $71,208.7, with a 24-hour high of around $72,268.8 and low of around $69,082.4, with trading volume of about $42.2 billion. Ethereum (ETH) rose to around $2,091.8 after a modest gain of 0.43% over the past 24 hours. Solana (SOL) is trading at around $84.54 and has a 24-hour high of around $89.08 and low of around $83.87, with sales of around $3.5 billion.
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