In the current climate of strong risk aversion, Ethereum price continues to be under bearish pressure today, while the $1,900-$1,850 area has emerged as a potential key reaction zone.
General Background: Risk-off markets and extreme fear
- Virtual currency market capitalization decrease about -3.1% in the last 24 hours.
- Advantages of Bitcoin That’s all 56%: The flow remains concentrated. Bitcoinaltcoins (including Ethereum) have suffered even more.
- Fear and Greed Index 11 (extreme fear): Sentiment is dire, with many selling late or fearing a pullback.
operational insights: In situations like this, rebounds are often used to lighten the position rather than to build long-term holdings. This results in Ethereum price today Easy to break.
Daily time frame (D1): The main trend is clearly bearish
Daily Ethereum ranking $1,935.59declared bearish administration. The main outlook is clearly bearish. It is below all major averages, momentum is declining and volatility remains high.
Exponential moving average (EMA): $ETH Far from dynamic support
- EMA 20: $2,364.91
- EMA50: $2,709.47
- EMA200: $3,111.66
- current price: $1,935.59 (significantly below all EMAs)
what it means: All three averages are high and far from the price, giving a bearish setting. This indicates two things:
- of The underlying trend is bearishIt’s not just from yesterday. The decline is structured.
- The distance from the short-term (EMA20) is wide. This increases the possibility of: short cover But as long as it stays below the EMA 20, the control is with the sellers.
RSI Daily: Oversold but not capitulating yet
what it means: If RSI is less than 30, The bear’s power is strong And the movement was swift. Technical rebounds are a common area, but they are not an automatic signal for reversal. In markets experiencing extreme fear, oversold conditions can last longer than expected.
MACD Daily: Selling pressure still exists
- MACD line: -276.38
- signal: -244.70
- histogram:-31.68 (minus)
what it means: Both line and signal are in negative region and the histogram is still there red. This shows that:
- of The bearish trend on the daily chart remains active.
- There is no clear depletion signal yet. The difference between the line and the signal is negative, indicating that the market has not yet started a real recovery phase.
Daily Bollinger Bands: Price is heading towards the lower band, but not out of control yet
- Central band (mid): $2,440.29
- Upper band (up): $3,249.20
- Low band (bass): $1,631.38
- price: $1,935.59 (below mid band, above low band)
what it means: Ethereum’s daily chart shows the price sliding into the lower half of the channel, but still far from the $1,631 lower band. This means:
- Selling pressure prevailsas the price remains far away from the central band.
- In case of panic, there is room to extend until the next time. $1,700–$1,650before encountering statistically “extreme” territory.
ATR Daily: High volatility, risk of range expansion
what it means: More than average daily fluctuation 200 dollars This indicates that Ethereum’s value can fluctuate rapidly. When trading intraday or with leverage:
- Stops that are too tight will easily disappear.
- Estimating risk is very important. It only takes one or two candlesticks to move the price 10% against the range.
Pivot Point Daily: $1,900 to $2,000 is the battleground
- Pivot point (PP): $1,966.64
- Resistance R1: $2,001.26
- Support S1: $1,900.97
what it means: The price is slightly below the pivot and close to about the S1 range. $1,900. This confirms that:
- of $1,900–$1,920 The zone is the first actual level that buyers need to adhere to.
- Above the pivot ($1,970-$2,000), the market may attempt a more structural rebound. Once below S1, bearish pressure can easily reignite.
Time frame H1: attempts to stabilize, but the hourly trend is still short
On the hourly chart, the price of Ethereum is $1,934.19,still bearish The trend continues, but there are early signs of a slowdown in the downward movement.
EMA H1: Price is below all averages, but distances are no longer extreme
- EMA 20: $1,988.16
- EMA50: $2,022.21
- EMA200: $2,130.07
- price: $1,934.19
what it means: The hourly trend is still in a downward trend, with prices below all averages. However, the distance from EMA 20 (about $50) is not as extreme compared to the daily chart. This scenario suggests two insights:
- Rebound towards $1,980-$2,000 This may be a store for trend followers.
- Only a stable recovery above EMA 20 H1 In the short term, muscle strength in shorts decreases..
RSI H1: Still in weak zone
what it means: Even in H1, Ethereum is crushed by oversold. The operational reading here is subtle.
- For those going against the trend and getting in, these are the areas to watch rebound setup With great care.
- For those who are already short, the very low RSI suggests avoiding opening new aggressive positions here. It is better to wait for a pullback.
MACD H1: Weak but with early signs of deceleration
- MACD line: -26.06
- signal: -20.30
- histogram: -5.77 (minus but may decrease)
what it means: MACD is still in negative territory, but the distance between the line and the signal is no longer extreme. This typically occurs when:
- of the speed of decline slows down.
- The market enters the next stage low consolidationbefore deciding whether to rebound or break again.
Bollinger Bands H1: Prices are in the lower band
- mid: $1,996.57
- above: $2,062.57
- low: $1,930.58
- price: $1,934.19 (near the lower band)
what it means: Price is hovering around the lower band, indicating consistent bearish pressure. but:
- When you start to see candlesticks closing within the channel and away from the lower band. Rebounding towards an average of $1,996 will increase.
- Conversely, if the closing price remains pushed to the lower band, the market is still “unloading” the position.
ATR H1: Wide and sensitive situation by time
what it means: The average range is approximately $20 Hourly candlesticks are important for scalpers and intraday traders. This means:
- Rapid movements can quickly invalidate the entry level.
- We recommend avoiding excessive leverage and calculating stops based on this range rather than an arbitrary number.
Pivot H1: $1,928 to $1,938 as Microbalance Zone
- PP: $1,937.74
- R1: $1,943.45
- S1: $1,928.47
what it means: The price is basically in the pivot zone of the hourly frame. This indicates that in the very short term:
- What the market wants is mini-equilibrium between buyers and sellers.
- Decisive break below $1,928 There is a possibility that there is room for a decline again. stable recovery over $1,944 Opens the door for $1,960 to $1,980 testing.
Time window 15 minutes: Post-dump micro-integration
On the 15 minute chart, the price of Ethereum is $1,933.98,still bearish trend, but there are early signs that the decline is stalling.
EMA 15m: Short pressure, but price is trying to stabilize below average
- EMA 20: $1,952.78
- EMA50: $1,975.22
- EMA200: $2,024.62
- price: $1,933.98
what it means: Price is still below all averages on the 15-minute chart, but the gap is narrower compared to the pure panic selling stage. this is typical Trace distribution range where:
- Shorts take profits gradually.
- Buyers are starting to make speculative entries, but they are not in control yet.
RSI 15m: Slightly oversold, with room for a small bounce.
what it means: The 15-minute chart also confirms that the RSI is below 30. daytime weaknessHowever, this alone is an area where short-term technical rebounds are common. 20-30 dollarsthis can be exploited by high speed traders.
MACD 15m: Early signs of a potential base
- MACD line: -12.24
- signal: -12.92
- histogram: +0.68 (slightly positive)
what it means: The snapshot here is different from other timeframes:
- histogram changed somewhat positiveindicating short-term short pressure is easing.
- This is often done prior to the next phase. daytime rebound or a sideways movement, not necessarily a trend reversal.
Bollinger Bands 15m: Price near the bottom of the channel
- mid: $1,948.67
- above: $1,960.25
- low: $1,937.10
- price: $1,933.98 (slightly below the lower band)
what it means: The price is essentially stuck to the bottom band, with some “spillover” below it. Such configurations often produce the following:
- easy snapback If sellers ease up, move towards the middle band ($1,948-$1,950).
- Or, if a new panic impulse occurs, there will be a rapid decline before a violent rebound.
ATR 15m: Significant microvolatility, beware of spikes
what it means: A 15-minute candlestick that moves approximately on average. $9 In an already tense environment, this means:
- spike of $15-20 It is not unusual for the process to be completed within a few minutes.
- Be very careful with market orders and high leverage.
Pivot 15m: Super tight micro range
- PP: $1,936.05
- R1: $1,938.38
- S1: $1,931.66
what it means: Prices fluctuate within a certain period of time. Trading range is very narrow. For intraday traders:
- On top of that $1,938 – $1,940there could be room to move towards $1,950-1,960.
- below $1,932more likely to try $1,920-$1,910 soon.
Main scenario: Bearish bias against Ethereum today
Combining time frames gives a clearer picture.
- every day: Very bearish, price is well below average.
- H1: Bearish, but there are signs that the pace of decline is slowing.
- 15 meters: We are trying a micro base as the MACD is starting to reverse, but we are still in a situation of general weakness.
The dominant force remains bearish trend. Very short-term positive signals should be interpreted literally as a potential technical rebound in a still fragile market.
Ethereum bullish scenario today: technical rebound and recovery to $2,000
Discussing a credible bullish scenario for Ethereum price today requires a series of confirmations, especially on the 1H chart and the 15-minute chart, given the idea of a technical rebound within a still bearish trend.
What the buyer needs
- maintain 1,900–1,880$ area As a daytime base, we protect the daily S1 $1,900.97.
- Stable H1 closes above pivot at $1,937-1,940 and then rises above that. R1 H1 $1,943 – $1,950.
- gradual recovery towards Bollinger mid first half (~$1,997) and EMA 20 H1 ($1,988-$2,000).
- RSI H1 is rising towards 40-50 indicating decreasing short pressure.
If this materializes, the near-term bullish scenario could pose the following challenges:
- $1,980 – $2,000: First profit-taking zone for rebound buyers.
- Possibility of expansion towards $2,050–$2,100 Only if the macro market (Bitcoin and market capitalization) stops falling.
Levels that invalidate the bullish scenario
- Decisive break below $1,880 Due to volume, the new first half closing price was $1,928, lower than the second half.
- RSI H1 remains below 30 despite attempts to rebound. This is a sign that all recoveries are sold.
In that case, the rebound would be a classic dead cat jumpingand the structure will be completely bearish even in the short term.
Ethereum bearish scenario today: extension above $1,850
Considering the day-to-day structure, the bearish scenario remains the dominant scenario for now.
What the seller needs
- decisively lose $1,900 Areas H1 and H4 (S1 each day) end below that level.
- Keep prices consistently below the daily pivot. $1,966 And H1 is $1,938turning any pullback into a selling opportunity.
- The RSI remains weak (below 40 for daily and H1), but no major bullish deviations are visible.
In this context, a plausible bearish target would be:
- $1,880–$1,850: Areas where early psychological support and late long suspensions may be concentrated.
- In case of further stress, $1,800–$1,750the daily lower band is $1,631 As an extreme statistical example of when true panic selling occurs.
Level to challenge bearish scenario
- stable recovery over $2,000 Daily closing price exceeds pivot $1,966 and approaching the daily 20EMA $2,365.
- The daily MACD has started to visibly reduce its negative histogram, indicating that the bearish trend is losing momentum.
as long as we’re far below $2,000 to $2,050However, all rebounds should still be interpreted within the context of a downtrend, rather than as a new bull market.
How to interpret today’s Ethereum price situation
Here’s the big picture: Market in complete fear and liquidation stageEthereum suffers even more Bitcoin. While the daily timeframe imposes a bearish bias, the H1 chart and the 15-minute chart suggest the following possibilities. technical rebound or lateral phase $1,900–$1,950.
For traders, this means:
- No commitment to scenario: Although the structure is short, the risk of a sharp pullback is high, especially on short time frames.
- Beware of false signals: In high ATR situations, a level breakout (especially on the 15-minute chart) can quickly turn into a false breakout and return to the range.
- Manage risk before ideation: With this volatility, the only difference between a successful idea and a losing trade is often the size of the position and the placement of the stop.
In summary: Ethereum price today This reflects that the market is under pressure and, although there is room for a rebound, there are still no solid signs of reversal. Those who want to buck this trend must act quickly and disciplinedly. Trend followers still have the advantage, but they can no longer afford to impulsively enter when they are completely oversold.
