After Bitcoin (BTC) hit its all-time high this week, trading experts believe the assets are on track with even greater profits and could reach $200,000 in 2025.
According to the analysis of Trade shothistoric trends and technical setups suggest that Bitcoin could reach the $200,000 mark towards the end of the year, according to May 23rd. TradingView post.
With the outlook, Trade shot He emphasized that Bitcoin is currently experiencing the weakest bull cycle ever. This is a natural result of the theory of reduced returns (TDM).
This theory assumes that as the market matures, the magnitude of returns tends to slow down. While previous cycles of Bitcoin have witnessed explosive growth, recent cycles are relatively mild yet prominent.
To explain this, Tradeshot overlayed previous bull cycles in Bitcoin (2009–2011, 2012–2013, 2015–2017, 2019–2021).
This comparison reveals a shift from aggressive early growth to a more consistent pattern similar to traditional financial market movements. Interestingly, the 2015-2017 and 2019-2021 cycles showed similar upward paths, with the temporary differences finally returning to a wider trend.
Bitcoin Tracking of Past Cycles
In turn, the ongoing cycles appear to be tracking within the upward channel. After the divergence predicted in February 2025, Bitcoin is expected to be reorganized into its historic trends. The last six weeks of rebounds further support this outlook.
Based on these patterns, Trade shot Bitcoin’s cycle peak is likely to occur between October and December 2025, with potential price ranges ranging from $150,000 to $200,000.
“Based on past cycles, it should be within October to December 2025. Timing timing could be more effective than assigning a specific target, despite the expected peaks to be in the $150,000-$2 million range,” the expert said.
After crossing the new record above $111,000, it is worth noting that analysts are optimistic that Bitcoin will be able to maintain this momentum in the coming weeks.
For example, as reported by Finbold, veteran trader Peter Brandt said following this breakout, that Bitcoin technology formation could reach $150,000 by August 2025.
Meanwhile, cryptocurrency trading expert Gert Van Lagen has made another bullish projection. In a May 24th post on X, he explained that Bitcoin followed a historically clear exponential path, with a clear exponential path of over $100,000 through repeated bullish patterns such as cup and handle formations.
He emphasizes that as history repeats, the actual peak can be three to six times higher than the current level, and note that Bitcoin rise is not just a straight line. It’s compound interest.
Bitcoin price analysis
As of press time, Bitcoin had been trading at $108,811, over 2% in the last 24 hours. However, every week, assets rose by more than 5%.
In particular, the broader sentiment around Bitcoin remains bullish. Current prices are well above the simple 50-day and 200-day moving averages (SMA), reaffirming a strong upward trend.
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