Crypto Rover from the famous Crypto Trader reminded us that FTX is set to return more than $5 billion to creditors starting tomorrow.
There is still confusion as to whether this is true or the amount is correct. This is mainly because there was a widely reported plan in May 2025 by FTX to distribute more than $5 billion in stubcoin to creditors. It should begin on May 30th and represents a substantial liquidity event.
However, the exact amount has not been disclosed. Recently, the FTX Recovery Trust confirmed it would distribute $1.6 billion of Stablecoins on September 30, 2025.
Related: Crypto faces volatile week with Fed remarks, FTX distribution and labor data
Rumors confirmed $5 billion to $1.6 billion
Regardless of the actual amount, more than $1 billion is huge and can have a significant market effect if the distribution of Stablecoin advances or if creditors adopt similar liquidation behavior.
For example, a suspect distribution can inject large amounts of liquidity into the crypto market, particularly stubcoins, bitcoins, and major altcoins.
Short-term volatility is also plausible as recipients decide whether to reinvest or put in cash. Sudden, abundant stub coins can reduce profitability to hold them.
Finally, while at a wider level it may not have much impact on the market, this event will bring the spotlight back to the fallout from the major exchange failure and the process of returning lost funds to users.
Still paying attention
It is important to note that the next confirmed distribution from the FTX Recovery Trust is the $1.6 billion payment scheduled for September 30th, significantly less than the estimated $5 billion reported on social media.
This huge gap between confirmed numbers and rumors can easily create market disruptions and promote speculative hype. Still, even rumors of large creditor repayments can promote market sentiment and lead to preemptive sales or purchases.
There have been similar events in the past. This caused sharp, temporary price shaking and messy trading, including repayment of Gox Mt. Gox, but it didn’t break the market. This suggests that even large-scale stubcoin payments can create short-term turbulence rather than causing a long-term crisis.
Related: FTX $1.6 billion creditor payments September 30th will turn into Crypto’s next liquidity test
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