Analysts have questioned the sustainability of the traditional four-year bullish cycle of the cryptocurrency market.
In his latest podcast, one such analyst cited Bitcoin’s unique behaviour in 2025. This was cited along with the development of a wider mainstream financial market that affected crypto market trends.
Related: Is the 4-year Bitcoin cycle dead? Liquidity currently controls crypto
September is still standing
Despite highlighting the possibility of an overhaul of crypto market dynamics, analysts argued that Bitcoin could maintain historic year-end gatherings over the year when its September profits end. According to Coinglass data, Bitcoin holds a profit of 4.18% while trading at $113,060 as of September 24, 2025 at the time of writing.
Typically, in the profitable September, Bitcoin will remain bullish for the coming months. With less than seven days left in September, the flagship cryptocurrency could end the month on the green.
Historical analysis of Bitcoin’s quarterly returns reveals a similar pattern. In this pattern, a profitable Q3 will be the platform for key gatherings for the next quarter. For example, after a 0.96% profit in the third quarter of 2024, Bitcoin skyrocketed 47.73% in the fourth quarter of 2024.
The Bitcoin market has a large external influence
In the meantime, analysts scrutinizing the evolution of the cryptocurrency market believe that ongoing development could change historical patterns of ecosystems. Typically, the cryptocurrency market will peak by the end of this year before embarking on the bear trend in 2026. However, development within the financial sector has led analysts to believe the bull cycle will expand even further.
Galaxy Digital CEO Michael Novogratz cited the increased independence of central banks as a key factor in changing financial market dynamics. Novogratz expects this development will affect how the crypto market will respond in the coming years. For example, well-known investors pointed out that Trump’s next pick as Federal Reserve Chair can start the megacycle when Crypto is usually late.
In Novogratz’s opinion, political ecosystems have a major impact on the development of cryptocurrency markets, making it more complicated for the industry to maintain historical trends and cycles.
Related: Bitcoin $200k, Ethereum $10K, Solana $1k, XRP $7 – Analyst’s Super Cycle Target
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