Bitcoin prices have been locked in the same range since early July, but goods like stocks, gold, real estate and silver are all pushing to new highs. The problem is why Bitcoin is behind, but almost all other major assets are gathered together.
Whale activity shows Bitcoin price distribution pressure
Data on the chain shows that whales carrying more than 100 Bitcoins have recently begun mass transfers after years of inactivity. These movements historically line up with periods of increasing cycle top or BTC volatility. This suggests that some of Bitcoin’s longest-term holders are achieving profit or turnover jobs.
The current wave of transfers is significant, but is smaller than that seen at previous peaks compared to total circulation supply. The number of unique whales sold is also low. This means that sales pressure appears to be concentrated among a small number of players rather than a wide distribution across the long-term holder cohort.
Institutional inflows offset Bitcoin price sales
While whales are distributed, steady inflows to ETFs and Treasury allocations continue to absorb supply. This balance explains why even if whales sell back, BTC prices remain stable rather than collapse. The market appears to be in the tug of war between old owners dropping out and demand for intervention intervening.
Impact on Bitcoin price outlook
BTC remains fixed in a tight range as supply and demand are offset against each other. If stocks and commodities grow at high prices, capital can spin into BTC as the next target, providing a breakout catalyst. For now, Bitcoin’s price stability reflects an extraordinary balance between whale distribution and institutional accumulation, setting the stage for the next critical move.
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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making an investment decision.
This post is the real reason why Bitcoin prices can’t be high, first appeared in Bitcoin magazine and is written by Matt Crosby.